03 October 2007

Election in 2010?

I have always thought that if Gordon Brown didn't go for a snap election he would have to wait until the last possible moment (i.e. 2010).

The Conservatives have had a great week, even before David Cameron's speech today, and the atmosphere at Conference has been very, very upbeat- helped by a positive media response. Aside from this forecasters are already suggesting gloom for the economy and Gordon's attempt to use our troops for political gain yesterday has seriously backfired and may well have a lasting effect.

So, the only reason we may now have an election is because Gordon and his team of spinners have created momentum in the media that they cannot stop. I expect some attempts in the next few days to play down the idea of an election. Personally, given that the reason for a delay will be because Gordon doesn't think he can win, I don't think a bit of a media blacklash because of a climbdown will bother him.

So now I have said all this - the announcement of an election is inevitable!!

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2 Comments:

Blogger Grendel said...

Martin,

I suspect there is a degree of inevitability about an early GE now.

It's like the general mobilisation in 1914. Gordon may not want one but it's just too late.

11:13 PM  
Blogger Martin Curtis said...

Grendel,

I am not sure this is true. Gordon won't worry about the impact of him stopping this train, he will just worry about how long he can govern for.

6:32 PM  

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