02 June 2009

Jacqui or Tom - Which is the most significant?

Most of the news is about Jacqui Smith deciding to leave the Cabinet. I can see why - she leaked it to prevent it being a sacking. However, I wonder if Tom Watson is more significant. Firstly, he was a trusted servant of the PMs. So if Gordon was going to sack him, it suggests that the PM knew that his reshuffle was an all or nothing gamble.

Moreover, Tom Watson was, at one time, a Blairite who crossed the New Labour floor to the dark side. Could it be he is about to head to a different corner and fight for someone new? Interesting to see whether he starts to side with Alan Johnson, who is most people's favourite to be the next Labour Leader.

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29 April 2009

Ghurka Victory

How wrong did the Government get this? How out of touch does Gordon Brown look?

How good is Joanna Lumley?

In principle I have a huge problem with the Lib Dems and the way they do business, it would take a lot for me to side with them. In this instance I have no doubts, I would have voted with the Lib Dems in this vote. I am absolutely delighted that service to Britain and loyalty have won over what is now truly identified as a morally bankrupt Government.

I wonder if this is the point at which Gordon Brown's premiership starts to collapse. This is an issue in which the British public as a whole care and Gordon has, once again, fallen well, well short.

I await the next opinion polls with eager anticipation.

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30 September 2008

Gordon to Resign?

Gordon Brown has pledged to do "whatever is necessary" to sort out our current financial problems.

The most important thing is to have someone at the helm in Britain that understands what prudence really means and is committed to cutting Whitehall waste in order to ease the burden on the taxpayer.

So if he really is willing to do "whatever is necessary" he'll be resigning.


27 September 2008

Myth Busting - Irresponsible Stock Market

Gordon Brown's comments blaming irresponsible people in finance companies doesn't wash. He has been part of a Government that has regulated more than any other, passing law after law after law meddling in our affairs in a way that has never been seen before.

If, as Chancellor,he thought there was a problem with irresponsibility we should be in no doubt that he would have had no problem with some sort of regulation.

Point the finger at Gordon for our problems not our financial institutions.


07 July 2008

Food Waste

Gordon Brown's astonishing criticism of consumers and food waste today really takes the biscuit (sorry"!!!). Loading pressure on consumers misses a major point - which is that supermarkets throw out a huge amount of food themselves. Gordon didn't want that battle, so chose to ignore the issue.

Interestingly however, his rant today includes a suggestion that Buy One Get One Free (BOGOFs) offers should be ended because they cause waste. This could be used by supermarkets to move food that they would otherwise throw in the bin. More importantly if BOGOFs end it will punish those who use such deals prudently - more likely to be people with lower incomes.

Gordon doesn't get it does he?

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12 June 2008

What Cost 42 Days

Obviously the biggest cost of yesterday's vote in favour of 42 days is to civil liberties. In order to win a vote on an issue where he had public opinion on his side Gordon Brown happily agreed to sign away a system put in place by the Magna Carta nearly 800 years ago. We should be in no doubt, Gordon Brown did not do this because he thought it was the right thing to do - there was nowhere near enough evidence to support that line - he did it because the British public are in favour of 42 days because of their fears over terrorism, which is not the same thing as genuine expert opinion supporting his case.

However, it seems there is also a huge financial cost. If the rumours are right he has sold his soul in some way to the DUP in order to gain their support - something that will not endear him to the left of his own party - but it seems that this agreement is along the lines of a 200m commitment. Who knows what other deals have been done with people from his own party for their votes - certainly this can only mean the diversion of yet more funds away from Conservative areas.

I wonder however, whether between now and the point where the Bill comes back before the Commons, the details of his dirty deals will leak out and he will upset some of his own side who were not offered incentives to vote with him causing an even bigger revolt as a result.

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05 May 2008

Brown's Recovery Plan

Reading the papers and listening to the news this morning it seems like Brown's recovery plan is about preventing things getting worse rather than fixing all the broken stuff that is making him and his party massively unpopular. Not raising fuel duty, scrapping bin taxes and controlling food prices are all about the future and nothing about the past.

What measures are there to make Government more efficient and reducing the huge number of bureaucrats who spend there time meddling and enforcing change as a means of avoiding the focus on constant failure? What about simplifying the tax regime so that money goes into public services rather than on unnecessary administration? These are the sorts of things that will help endear the Government to the people.

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03 May 2008

Brown's Smug Smile?

Gordon Brown is not a man renowned for smiling. So how does he manage a smug grin as he says the word "disappointing" in yesterday's speech about the Labour local election disaster? I watched it and thought it was wierd- take a look for yourself.

At about 20 seconds in he says "It's clear to me that this has been errrr {smug grin} a disappointing indeed a bad night for Labour"


Maybe I'm seeing things, but I noticed it the moment I saw it.


30 April 2008

Is Gordon Brown The Modern Michael Foot?

Everyone is claiming that a Ken Livingstone victory tomorrow would be good for Brown, I am not so sure, it would not be difficult for someone to make the claim that Ken won despite Brown and therefore that people are willing to Vote left-wing, but not for New Labour.

So a Livingstone victory could spark a left-wing revival in the Labour Party leaving both the Blairites and the traditional wing of the Party fighting for power, with Brown stuck in the middle with nowhere to go. It could also create a massive left/right split in the Labour Party - Gordon Brown would become New Labour's Michael Foot!!

Here's hoping for a Boris victory anyway.

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24 April 2008

A Government Unable to Govern

Yesterday's climbdown was very welcome. But it should not have taken a test of brinkmanship for Gordon Brown to realise that he had got the abolition of the 10p tax rate wrong.

We now have a Government that is unable to govern, they are alread making noises about not bending on 42 days, after yesterday who believes them? I certainly don't.

Brown's days are looking numbered.


18 March 2008

Dalai Dillying

Am I the only one who thinks the lack of a decision over whether Gordon Brown should meet the Dalai Lama is a disgrace? It is a no brainer, China are in the wrong over Tibet and meeting the Dalai Lama will make that message plain and clear.

We all now that our Gordon is a ditherer, but procrastinating over this meeting in the vain hope that you might be able to avoid upsetting China is taking things a bit far.

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01 January 2008

Happy New Year

Happy New Year to you all.

I have one prediction for 2008, which is that one way or another Gordon Brown will not be Prime Minister at the end of it.


08 December 2007

Ok - it's the Daily Mail, but...

...there has to be an element of truth in this article, that Blairites are giving Brown until May to turn things round else face a leadership challenge. It would be interesting if the Blairites (i.e. Milliband) have the guts to do what Brown never could - to challenge a failing Prime Minister.

I think this line is very telling:

"Those who were elected in 1997, 2001 and 2005 have never known Opposition and find the prospect terrifying."

Presumably many of those MPs find the prospect of not having a job even more terrifying?


06 December 2007

The beginning of the end for Brown already)?

The Sun today includes this short article highlighting Jon Cruddas' dig at Brown and Charles Clarke refusing to join the "big tent".

Cruddas' comments are very powerful. He expresses what many Labour activists have been saying for sme time (actually since the early days of Blair). I suspect the current disappointment is more that there is no evidence of a return to traditional Labour values , despite New Labour being in freefall.


06 November 2007

Breaking News: Queens Speech to be Yawnfest

It comes to something when one of the most important political events of the year, the Queens speech fails to make the front page of the newspapers because of the extent of prior knowledge that exists on its content and because it is not forecast to contain anything new, innovative or exciting. I am sure there will be the odd surprise, but certainly nothing that will reinvigorate his already tired looking Government.

A month after Gordon Brown said he wouldn't have an election because he first wants to demonstrate his vision for Britain, he provides the ultimate proof that he has no vision.


15 October 2007

Brown Spinning Like a Top

Brown is all over every news channel this morning spinning lines like:

Lord Falconer was just talking about vision in general, not criticising

We have been focussing on other aspects of the NHS and are turning to
dentistry now.

We have always believed in recognising marriage in the Tax system.

Far from open, honest Government he is spinning out of control. It is not acceptable for a Prime Minister to behave like this.


08 October 2007

PM - Spinning like a top

During the news conference today Gordon Brown said:

"those candidates in marginal seats were telling us we would win the election"
So why, on 5 Live today, did we hear a Labour MP in a marginal say he didn't want an election? I know he is only one - but if this is true you would have thought that our Gordon and his team would have had candidates in marginals queueing up to confirm his comment.

I wish one of the lobby had suggested to him what we all know - that he had stopped talking out of his mouth over why an election wasn't called. There is only one reason, it is because the Conservatives had a fantastically successful conference, which was reflected in the polls.

UPDATE: I have, rather sadly, being going through the text of today's press conference. Gordon said:
"people judge me on the big decisions for the future of the Country."

Deciding to call a General Election is about as big a decision as you can make for the future of the Country. So, in accordance with Gordon's own comments, we are entitled to judge him as a liar if we believe that he changed his mind because of the opinion polls.

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07 October 2007

Is David Milliband laughing?

The Labour Party must be at one of its lowest points since 1997 today. Gordon and has entourage of advisors have left the party with severely damaged credibility and with their newly elected leader at a similar point in the polls to the time when they finally got rid of Blair.

So the party must be fuming at Gordon Brown, and MPs from marginal seats are surely desperately worried about their futures.

So who in the Labour Party benefits? David Milliband, who seems to have kept himself distant from the Brown inner circle, and probably Alan Johnson. I wonder when the mutterings will start?


06 October 2007

Poor Spin Alert - Brown's Excuse

I have just been watching the ITN News. Their Chief political correspondent said that Brown has called in a "pet" interviewer - which is a great way of describing Andrew Marr. It made me smile anyway.

Apparently the message that Brown will be spinning is that he was considering an election, but he has decided that he wants to go to the Country after he has had the opportunity to deliver something.

Andrew Marr's response should be something to the effect of "how do you expect anyone to buy that piece of tripe?"

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How much better can this weekend get

Firstly I watch England's fantastically strong performance to beat the Aussies in the rugby, then do my hourly flick around the news sites to see that Gordon seems to have bottled it (which I predicted he would). Now we just need Lewis Hamilton to win overnight and Arsenal to trounce Sunderland tomorrow and this weekend will have been about as good as it gets.

Gordon Brown is now backed deep into a corner. As Conservative Home are saying, he has been exposed for the calculating schemer that he is. If I were a betting man, I would now lay bets on a 2010 election - Gordon will leave it until the last minute because there is no way he can recover from the position he is in. That said, if the polling in target seats was truly bad, there was also no way he could call an election now; his so called supreme political brain put him into a no win situation.

I also predict a November leadership election for the Lib Dems. Chris Huhne must realise this is the only space he has to mount a challenge and halt the Lib Dems freefall.

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04 October 2007

More Pro-Labour Spin from the BBC

This article about Brown's first 100 days would be really interesting if it was sufficiently balanced. Overall there is paragraph after paragraph complimenting Brown for the way he handled the numerous crises that occurred, and absolutely no mention of the criticism that was widely levelled at him, that his real method was to disappear from public view and only reappear when things were looking OK.

The only real bad points mentioned are that Cameron's speech marred his 100th day and that he has dodged a referendum on the EU constitution. There is a lame quote from the Guardian's Michael White about the blatantly political decision to appoint opposition MPs as advisors, but it is hardly a criticism (nor would it ever be from Michael White).

The most astonishing thing is that, by far and away, the biggest single mistake that Gordon Brown has made was the appalling way he politicised our armed forces by announcing (or re-announcing) troop withdrawals whilst he was out in Iraq. The article makes no mention of that.

Whoever edited and approved that piece for publication must have realised that not mentioning the criticism over his visit to Iraq was a serious omission, mustn't they?

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03 October 2007

Election in 2010?

I have always thought that if Gordon Brown didn't go for a snap election he would have to wait until the last possible moment (i.e. 2010).

The Conservatives have had a great week, even before David Cameron's speech today, and the atmosphere at Conference has been very, very upbeat- helped by a positive media response. Aside from this forecasters are already suggesting gloom for the economy and Gordon's attempt to use our troops for political gain yesterday has seriously backfired and may well have a lasting effect.

So, the only reason we may now have an election is because Gordon and his team of spinners have created momentum in the media that they cannot stop. I expect some attempts in the next few days to play down the idea of an election. Personally, given that the reason for a delay will be because Gordon doesn't think he can win, I don't think a bit of a media blacklash because of a climbdown will bother him.

So now I have said all this - the announcement of an election is inevitable!!

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11 September 2007

Another Yawner from Gordon

I watched a large part of Gordon's speech at the TUC yesterday. It was as dull as his press conference, but for a different reason - we have heard all the messages before - time and time again.

One of the reasons that people get turned off by politics is that politicians make promises and pronouncements to do with jobs and skills incessantly, yet have rarely delivered. Up until yesterday Gordon was telling everyone how great the New Deal was - which was supposed to deliver a great deal of this. Yesterday was more of an admission of the failure of the New Deal (which has cost us billions) than it was a statement of new ideas and new intent.


08 September 2007

The Question to Ask About That Foot and Mouth Lab

The Government need to answer some serious questions about the foot and mouth outbreak at the Institute of Animal Health , I personally think that the most serious is whether Gordon Brown's funding cuts have contributed to reduced maintenance standards. I hope a Commons Select Committee will do a follow-up investigation because the Government certainly won't agree to a public enquiry.

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07 September 2007

Cameron's Best Week

The doom mongers in the media were starting to bay for blood a few weeks ago. This week David Cameron has managed to totally turn that around.

The bad news were fairly minor issues - John Bercow and Patrick Mercer decided to work for Gordon Brown; Patrick Mercer was discredited for his comments about racism in the Armed Forces and the media have been hinting that John Bercow has been in discussion about crossing the floor anyhow, so no-one got too excited. Today a Tory donor has decided to work for Gordon Brown. I don't think there will be too much concern over this either. That donor is an environmentalist and was offered an environmental advisory role with Gordon Brown.

The stuff in Cameron's favour are; the news that the gap in the polls have closed; a very positive reaction to his "National Service" ideas; a respectful reaction to his criticism of Michael Ancram and other supposed grandees; reinforcement of his demands for a referendum on the European Treaty. On top of this there was Gordon Brown's dull, dour, boring, dispassionate Press conference and a negative response to "Citizen's Juries", Brown's biggest piece of spin yet.

For the first time since Brown became PM, Cameron seems to be on the up. I suspect the Conservatives will take the lead in the polls again very soon. It probably won't be a big enough lead (yet), but it is a good sign.

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05 September 2007

When did the PM have an emotion bypass operation?

I watched the Prime Minister's Press Conference yesterday, at least whilst I could stay awake. A combination of Gordon Brown's dull tones coupled with a late night after seeing Ross Noble on Monday proved too much.

It is not just that what he was saying was dull, it was how he was saying it. I would be the last man to say we want a PM that just spouts utter crap and deceit like Blair did, but we do need a PM who has some passion and who actually sounds like he cares about Britain.

I also could not believe that Brown had the nerve to compare himself to Margaret Thatcher. He is the absolute antithesis of her. Remember one of the keystones of Thatcherite economics was "Good Housekeeping". How can a PM who has overseen disaster after disaster in managing tax credits and an unmeasurable rise in Government waste dare to compare himself to the Prime Minister whose effective housekeeping policies were the saviour of this Country.


31 August 2007

Is Silence Golden for Brown

The most important part of today's Poll is that it was taken before David Cameron's recent pronouncements on crime. Of course it would still be nice for the Conservatives to be ahead, but I think Cameron's recent activity will now start to see the end of the Brown honeymoon.

What has been interesting is the almost total silence from Gordon Brown. The only time he seems to stand up and say anything is if it will have popular support or if he wants to pretend more money is going somewhere (i.e. on flood defences, where money will come in around 2011, but he never mentioned that bit).

I wonder if this is his pre-election strategy, if he speaks rarely and only to say populist claptrap then people can only remember him for that. If that is what he is doing, then he is a coward and a poor Prime Minister.


28 August 2007

Has Cameron forced the media to end Brown's honeymoon?

Whilst the media did their best to present "the bare knuckle fight" policy as a debacle, the Conservatives seem to have made a point, especially that the NHS Trusts are working to the Government agenda and therefore cannot be trusted. It was right that the Conservative policy focused on the numbers game, because that is what is making Government decisions; centralised thinking that leaves NHS Trusts out of the decision-making process for their own areas.

Following on from that "Anarchy in the UK" seems to have hit home - and quite rightly so. The Government's lacklustre response to Rhys Jones' murder deserves to be ridiculed; yet another amnesty, this time organised in a way that gives Government backing to any thought that the police are not to be trusted; that'll work then. David Cameron is right, the way to tackle the problems faced in some of our inner cities is at the home and at school. In particular by returning to an age where parents take legal responsibility for the actions of their children. If a child is taken to court for a crime that has taken place when they should be at home and in bed, then the parents should receive the same punishment (especially if it is some sort of Community service). But that hard-hiting solution cannot ignore the fact that some parents need intervention because they do not have the knowledge of how to parent properly without support.

Over the weekend the Telegraph linked the current problems faced by our armed forces in Iraq to the relative financial starvation of the MoD by Gordon Brown when he was Chancellor, and quite rightly so. This could be the start of Gordon Brown's financial mismanagement coming home to roost, it is certainly something the media should be doing more of. Hopefully, David Cameron's recent effective work means we will see more and more of this.

It is especially heartening that the Conservatives are now relaunching their campaign for a referendum on the EU Treaty (for "treaty" read "constitution") - this should also put Brown under more pressure.

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08 August 2007

Learning the Lessons from History

One of the things that disappoints me about "international" politics is the failure to learn the lessons of history.

The situation regarding the interpreters in Iraq is one where we really must learn.

When Harold Wilson withdrew troops from Aden in the 60s he left behind a slaughter of Arabs who had supported the British occupation. It is something which Harold Wilson should never have been forgiven for - it is also something which we should remember.

From a personal survival perspective Gordon Brown should learn the lessons - because I do not believe the media would let it lie if he did the same in Iraq. But it means securing the future of far more than just 91 interpreters.

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01 August 2007

Brown fails in the UK, but takes on the world

According to the majority of stats, poverty has risen over the last 10 years, even though Gordon Brown made it a personal priority. Now he wants to tackle poverty around the world.

Nothing more needs to be said.

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11 June 2007

New Book Coming Soon

No this is not a blatant plug for the 'Big Red Book of New Labour Sleaze', but a prediction from me that we will see:

'Why Gordon Brown is such a great bloke and will never interfere with the intelligence services' published by MI5 Publications Inc.

I am sick of the deceit that is going on at the moment. It is like Gordon Brown, as the 2nd most senior Minister in the Country, had absolutely no influence on the manipulation that led to a decision to go to War and send troops to their death based on a lie.

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05 June 2007

Not Spin - A Downright Lie

Iain Dale uncovers some good stuff. This piece, which exposes Gordon Brown's 'ordinary guy' tube trip as a probable scam is a good example. What Iain has highlighted is that the person quoted in the press after our Gordo came and sat next to her is a New Labour stooge.

Where I would differ from Iain on this is that I wouldn't describe it as Spin. If this was staged then it was a con-trick; a downright lie. Let's stop pretending that this sort of conduct is acceptable by describing it as something other than what it is. Spin is about making sure your own perspective on policy and performance is put across - there is something acceptable in this. Where facts and information can be manipulated it is important that your own view is put across.

Staging an event and pretending it happened by chance in order to deliberately misinform the public is a lie, it is totally unacceptable.

We now find out if the press are to give Gordo a honeymoon (he doesn't deserve one). If they report this apparent piece of deceit then we know that he gets honest treatment from day one.


03 June 2007

Gordon Brown doesn't understand Civil Liberties

On the one hand he says he intends to protect Civil Liberties and then in the same speech wants to increase the 28 day detention period to 90 days. It is totally hypocritical.

It is a shame because some of the other suggestions he is making are sensible (i.e. using telephone tapping recordings as evidence), yet he is going to force many MPs to vote against the sensible stuff because of the most fundamental and illogical part of his plans.

The Conservatives should pledge to put a leaflet through the door of every constituent of every MP that changes vote and speaks differently to last time on this issue. That might be the way to overcome the Brown bully-boy tactics that will inevitably be used to make sure the new PM gets his way.


16 May 2007

Brown's Coronation is good for the Conservatives

I am disappointed for Britain (and for the many Labour activists who love their party but have fallen out of love with New Labour) that Gordon Brown is to become PM unopposed. There was a need for Brown's personal philosophy to be tested and stretched, the fact that there is no contest means that there has been and will be no significant analysis of "Brownism".

But I have to say, for the Conservatives it is good news. A Brown vs McDonnell contest would have enabled Brown to distance himself from socialism (despite having used typical socialist tax, spend and control methods since 1997). Without the contest all the voters will remember is Brown as a tax and spender, Brown as a control freak and Brown as a man with no oomph.
The lack of a contest increases the likelihood of a Conservative victory at the next GE (IMHO).

Brownism is a great word, because with Brown as PM we are all in the poop.


15 May 2007

McDonnell - Part of the Labour Spin

Well it looks like my prediction is coming to nothing and David Moribund won't run. In fact today it looks like it will be a straight fight between McDonnell and Brown. Gordon Brown will absolutely relish this. A reminder of exactly what Socialism did for Britain can do nothing but help the New Labour cause.

I suspect that any "bounce" will prove to be be shortlived because in a Brown/Cameron debate Brown's character will be the issue rather than a philosophical argument about "right vs. left"

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14 May 2007

Please Don't Fall for it again

Gordon Brown is trying to subject the media to the same sort of charm offensive that Blair used to great effect whenever he was in it up to his neck. The shame is that some of the media are falling for it again. The BBC, of course, are the biggest culprits. The dire interview with Gordon Brown on Sunday where he was allowed to say almost anything he wanted without any sort of challenge is a perfect example.

We all know what Brown is like, he is a control freak and a tax and spend fanatic. That's what we are getting; nothing more, nothing less.


17 April 2007

Vote of No Confidence in Gordon Brown

The move by the Conservatives to call for a vote of no confidence in Gordon Brown is potentially a masterstroke. Not only does it continue to highlight the fact that Gordon Brown was totally autocratic in his decision making over pensions (a quality that will cost him dearly if he is ever to defend New Labour in a General Election), it gives every single Conservative PPC the ability to say that the sitting Labour MP supports Gordon Brown's handling of the situation - something that could be crucial in some marginal seats.

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12 April 2007

That's Two Browns With Doubtful Futures

Gordon Brown seems to be on the skids and, it seems, may have recognised that he is likely to be contested, hence the purchase of an appropriate domain name.

Des Brown, on the other hand, is just downright lucky. His decision not to stop Sailors and Marines from making money from being captured was probably the worst decision to affect the MoD since, well, some of his cronies told a few porkies to get support for sending troops to war. He should no longer be in his job, but New Labour are in too much trouble and will stick by him for their benefit at the expense of the best interests of Britain.

If Des Brown was a man of honour he would recognise the massive offence he caused the families of those who have lost loved ones and resign.

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03 April 2007

Brown Takes The Blame, Then Tries To Spin Out Of It

Gordon Brown has accepted the blame for the decision to change pension tax rules in 1997, claiming that it was taken on "the best advice that I had". So far the only advice anyone has seen highlights the risks or predicts disaster. Of course, they tried to claim that CBI wanted it, but seem to have climbed down on this after the CBI said it was a load of old tosh.

Gordon Brown's latest way of spinning out of it is to suggest that it was offset in reductions in Corporation Tax. A nice bit of convenient thinking when you consider the considerable number of additional taxes and burdens that he has placed on business, which already more than offset any tax reductions.

The truth is Gordon did it, it is Gordon's fault, everybody blame Gordon.

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02 April 2007

Spinning or just a lie?

The Treasury argument that it was the CBI that asked for the Pension Fund taxes in 1997 seems to have just helped Gordon Brown dig an even deeper hole for himself, with the then CBI chief, Lord Turner, saying that no such request was made.

Now I know this is one argument pitted against another, so we will never truly know who is telling the truth (although I know who I believe), but this does beg the question, when does spinning become lieing? Spinning is about twisting information to present your own case in the best possible light. Surely making up information, which is what seems to have been claimed here, is downright deceit?

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31 March 2007

Brown knew all along. No surprise there then

So it seems that Gordon Brown was warned but chose to ignore the impact of his disastrous tax raid on pensions. I am sure nobody has fallen off their chair in shock at hearing that news.

Perhaps more importantly is the latest unravelling of Browns most recent Budget disaster. The Conservatives have put out a press release which provides evidence which contradicts Brown's only justification for his decision to raise taxes for those on low incomes - that those affected will be able to claim more Tax Credits. Apparently the Treasury have admitted that they do not expect to see a rise in the amount of Tax Credit claimed, which the Conservatives put down to having an application system that is over-complicated. Once again, nobody will be particularly surprised at that. David Moribund however will be absolutely delighted.

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30 March 2007

Milliband will stand, let's stop pretending otherwise

I have seen quite a lot of stuff around over the last few days suggesting that David Milliband could/might stand against Brown etc., etc., etc.

It is blatantly obvious that he *is* going to stand, let's all stop pretending; lets start talking about "when" not "if". Don't give in to spin.

It is my growing belief that Gordon Brown put the final nail in his coffin when he chose to tax the poor in the budget and pretend it was a good thing. I am more and more inclined to think that David Moribund is going to be the next PM.

From a Conservative perspective that will be a great thing, because he has no practical nouse whatsoever. From Britain's perespective, it's better than Brown but still a poor deal.

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23 March 2007

Found this on Iain Dale's blog. Watch and enjoy, it is very, very good.
Hats off to the good souls at 18 Doughty Street for doing this.


21 March 2007

The Secrets Start to Emerge

First reactions to the budget were mixed, I suspect more considered reactions will be more hostile. The headline cut of 2p off income tax was marred by the realisation that raising the lower rate by 10p means that anyone earning less than 15k a year will be worse off.

The green taxes were very limited in scope and will not have much effect. I still think that taxing poor performing engines is a far better solution than taxing certain types of car. What incentive is there for a manufacturer to develop a hyper-efficient engine for a 4x4 (or even a Renault Espace for that matter)? What ever engine is under the bonnet they are paying the same increase in Vehicle Tax.

It has now been recognised that the headline cut in Corporation Tax hides other stealth taxes on business that will see taxes increase over the next few years.

Politically the Conservatives were right that, rather than shooting David Cameron's fox, Gordon Brown has endorsed the Conservative approach to taxation, but without doing anything that gives the impression that he actually means it, nor that he understands and recognises the poor state we are in, in terms of our ability to compete economically.

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20 March 2007

The Ruthless Stalinist's Biggest Day Out

Gordon Brown faces a critical day tomorrow. It is perhaps win or bust time, the final point at which Gordon Brown can see off any serious potential rivals for the Labour Leadership. If he blows it you will probably see his odds of succeeding Blair lengthening.

The difficulty is that he has to succeed at a very difficult balancing act. To gain the confidence of the general public he has to avoid stealth taxes, in fact he probably needs to reduce the overall tax burden and commit to lowering it in future; yet to succeed with the grass roots of the Labour Party he has to be seen to be moving towards their agenda - a direction that is historically not one that is compatible with tax-cutting.

To start to win over David Cameron, he has to show that he has got to grips with the Green agenda, which he singularly failed to do with his disastrous tax hike on air travel. Similar failures to find Green taxes that fail to incentivise good behaviour will simply prove that he still doesn't understand the issue.

To start to win with Lib Dem voters he has to show he isn't Menzies Campbell (i.e. over promoted and already past his best!!).

As ever with Mr Brown's budget, it will be impossible to provide an accurate analysis because he isn't big enough to stand up and announce the bad parts of his budgets in the House, preferring the cowardly approach of burying the painful stuff deep within the supporting paperwork. It is only as those things are discovered that a real analysis can be undertaken.

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06 March 2007

Are they typical mid-term polls?

According to Conservative Home's Poll of Polls, David Cameron is regularly getting the sort of figures that suggest the Conservatives could win an outright majority at the next General Election.

Watching the newspaper reviews last night, the usual "mid-term polls" guff was being spouted by New Labour apologists. I think it is a very unwise position to take, it ignores exactly how damaged the reputation of New Labour (and politics in General) has become under Blair.

Whilst I accept that people know what they will be getting under Gordon Brown, and that Labour's vote would therefore definitely drop even further with him as PM, I am suspicious about giving the same sort of credibility to the polling figures for the lesser known potential candidates such as Milliband (although I personally think that, likable though David Milliband is, he lacks the oomph that is needed of a leader).

I believe New Labour's best option is for one of these lesser known candidates to come forward and create a case for fundamentally changing the way British politics operates. This is the sort of line that is going to have to come from someone eventually (because from the view of the voter, National politics is broken at the moment).

I have to say that I don't think Labour can deliver the change people are after, they are too tied to Union cash and centralisation to deliver it, but it is the only hope they have got.

Obviously, my personal preference is for New Labour to crown Gordon Brown as the next PM, then they will definitely get what they deserve at the next election.

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11 November 2006

Gordon Brown Confirms he is an authoritarian

It seems that Gordon Brown has decided, because he does not like the decision of the courts and our judicial system in clearing Nick Griffin, that he is going to change the law. I despise racism, but this is bad politics, and just serves to highlight that Gordon Brown will run the ultimate authoritarian regime when/if he becomes Prime Minister.

Tthe only way to really defeat vicious political organisations like the BNP is to win the argument. Preventing the argument from happening just gives them more of a recruiting tool.

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