06 March 2007

Are they typical mid-term polls?

According to Conservative Home's Poll of Polls, David Cameron is regularly getting the sort of figures that suggest the Conservatives could win an outright majority at the next General Election.

Watching the newspaper reviews last night, the usual "mid-term polls" guff was being spouted by New Labour apologists. I think it is a very unwise position to take, it ignores exactly how damaged the reputation of New Labour (and politics in General) has become under Blair.

Whilst I accept that people know what they will be getting under Gordon Brown, and that Labour's vote would therefore definitely drop even further with him as PM, I am suspicious about giving the same sort of credibility to the polling figures for the lesser known potential candidates such as Milliband (although I personally think that, likable though David Milliband is, he lacks the oomph that is needed of a leader).

I believe New Labour's best option is for one of these lesser known candidates to come forward and create a case for fundamentally changing the way British politics operates. This is the sort of line that is going to have to come from someone eventually (because from the view of the voter, National politics is broken at the moment).

I have to say that I don't think Labour can deliver the change people are after, they are too tied to Union cash and centralisation to deliver it, but it is the only hope they have got.

Obviously, my personal preference is for New Labour to crown Gordon Brown as the next PM, then they will definitely get what they deserve at the next election.

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